(All accuracies tested and displayed from 02/02/2021 till current date)
Key Points:
Weak or Medium moves are conviction forecasts while strong moves are high conviction forecasts.
(1) Accuracy Duration(Hourly Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of each hours forecast performance.(Hourly Conviction- means in this case probability is moderate to high for our forecast to be true)
(2) Accuracy Duration(Hourly High Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of each hours forecast.(With High Conviction- means in this case probability is high to very high for our forecast to be true)
(3) Accuracy Duration(Early Pre-Open Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of forecast done 30 min before Market Opening. Market opens at 09:15 a.m. and we forecast at 08:45 a.m.
(4) Accuracy Duration(Early Pre-Open, High Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of forecast done 30 min before Market Opening. Market opens at 09:15 a.m and we forecast at 08:45 a.m.
(5) Accuracy Duration(Daily Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of each day.(Daily Conviction- means in this case probability is moderate to high for our forecast to be true)
(6) Accuracy Duration(Daily High Conviction): Directional accuracy percentage of each day.(With High Conviction- means in this case probability is high to very high for our forecast to be true)
